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Reaching for the Stars: America’s Choice
© Neil deGrasse Tyson
From Natural History magazine, April 2003
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In the months that have passed since the Space
Shuttle Columbia’s fatal
re-entry through Earth’s atmosphere, it seems that everyone has become a NASA
critic. After an initial period of shock, followed by genuine mournful
expression, no end of journalists, politicians, scientists, technologists,
policy people, and ordinary taxpaying citizens have debated with passion and
persuasion, the past, present, and future of America’s presence in space.
Among the complaints is the perennial lament that
people no longer get excited about the space program. But this is not a
measure of apathy, as many would claim. It’s instead, an indicator that space
exploration has passed seamlessly into our culture. A nation’s culture is what
permeates life so thoroughly that its residents no longer take notice. We now
pay attention only when something goes wrong.
By contrast, space in the 1960s was an exotic
frontier; traversed by the few, the brave, the lucky. Every gesture NASA made
toward the heavens caused a spike in the media – the surest evidence that space
was not yet familiar. Back then, as you would expect, many of us could recite
the monikers of the “Mercury Seven” astronauts. Today, as you would expect,
the Columbia Seven became similarly well-known, but only in death. With the
space shuttle, America had launched more astronauts in the eighteen months
preceding the Columbia tragedy
than were launched in all Mercury, Gemini, and Apollo missions during the
1960s.
What
does all this mean?
For
many, especially in the aerospace industry and among NASA enthusiasts, the
1960s was a golden era for American space exploration. The run of space
missions, each more ambitious than the one before it, ultimately led to men
walking on the Moon, just as we said we would. Mars was surely next. These
adventures spawned a level of public interest in science and engineering that
was without precedent in American history, pumping the entire educational
pipeline with eager and inspired students. What followed was a domestic boom
in technology that would shape our lives for the rest of the century. A
beautiful story. But let us not fool ourselves into thinking we went to the Moon
because we are pioneers, or discovers, or adventurers. We went to the Moon
because it was the militaristically expedient thing to do.
Just
weeks after the Soviet Union’s Yuri Gagarin became the first person to orbit
Earth in 1961, President Kennedy addressed a joint session of Congress and
uttered words that still resonate today:
I
believe that this nation should commit itself to achieving the goal, before the
decade is out, of landing a man on the moon and returning him safely to the
Earth.
But hardly
anyone remembers the sentence that followed, which was a powerful appeal to
defeat communism:
If we
are to win the battle that is now going on around the world between freedom and
tyranny, the dramatic achievements in space which occurred in recent weeks should
have made clear to us all, as did Sputnik in 1957, the impact of this adventure
on the minds of men everywhere who are attempting to make a determination of
which road they should take.
This
was not, of course, the first time that significant monies were spent on
military programs. Kennedy knew, if only implicitly,
that while bravery may win battles, science and technology provide security.
Science and technology win wars.
From
my reading of history, human discovery and exploration have never driven the
funding of truly expensive projects, even if our sanitized memories tell us so,
and even if the people doing the discoveries are themselves, discoverers. This
fact argues strongly against those who suggest we have not yet walked on Mars
because today we have no leaders, or we have lost our drive to explore, or we
no longer take risks.
If
you want exploration alone to promote spending, consider that any foreseeable
mission to Mars will be long and immensely expensive. We are a wealthy nation.
We have the money. The needed technology is imaginable. These aren’t the
issues. Expensive projects take a long time and must be sustained across
changeovers in political leadership as well as through downturns in the
economy. With no immediate military benefit or economic driver (like space
tourism), images of astronauts frolicking on a planet’s surface juxtaposed with
that of hungry, unemployed factory workers make a powerful anti-funding force.
A review of history’s ambitious projects -- those
that have garnered an uncommonly large fraction of a nation’s gross domestic
product -- demonstrates that only three drivers have been sufficient to create
them: defense (e.g.
Great Wall of China, Manhattan Project, Apollo Project), the promise of
economic return (e.g. Columbus Voyages,
Magellan Voyages, Tennessee Valley Authority), and the praise of power (e.g. Pyramids, Cathedrals, Palaces). For expensive
projects that satisfy more than one of these criteria, money flows like rivers.
The Eisenhower Interstate highway system makes a crisp example: conceived in
the post WWII era to move materiel and personnel for the defense of the nation,
yet used heavily by commerce. That’s why there’s always money for roads.
Low
earth orbit is still a frontier, of sorts. Although today’s astronauts are
boldly going where hundreds have gone before, the empirical risk of death
remains high. With two lost shuttles out of a hundred launches, an astronaut’s
chances of not coming home are about two percent. If those were your chances of
death every time you drove your car, you would never drive your car. The Columbia astronauts were not unmindful of this
risk, yet they took it anyway. They went because the return outweighed the
risk itself. I am proud to be part of a species where a subset of its
members willingly put their lives at risk to push the boundaries of our
existence. They were the first to leave the cave and see what was on the other
side of the cliff-face. They were the first to scale the mountains. They were
the first to sail the oceans. They were the first to touch the sky. And they
will be the first to land on Mars. But somebody has to write the check. When
nobody writes the check, we stall on the last broached frontier.
Rhetoric
won’t get us there. Nor am I convinced that the fundamentals of human
decision-making are different today than they have ever been. So, unless space
travel becomes so cheap it’s not worth a congressional debate, or unless we
have investors lined up to sink venture capital into space hotels, or unless we
have the reprise of a Sputnik-like assault on our national security, we will
simply never go anywhere else.
Actually,
there may be a way. But it involves a slight shift in what we have
traditionally called national defense. If, in fact, science and technology
wins wars, as the history of military conflict suggests, then, instead of
taking count of our smart bombs, perhaps we should be taking count of our smart
scientists and engineers. In the Second World War, those who cracked the
German code, who invented radar, and who enabled the Manhattan project were all
drawn from their academic labs where they had been conducting curiosity driven
research on the frontier of science and technology
To
attract the most talented students, you need the best projects – not military
projects, but pure, curiosity-driven projects. We should search Mars for
water, fossils, and life. Liquid water once ran on its surface. No longer. As
earthlings who live on a fragile, wet planet we ought to make this study a high
priority. We should visit an asteroid or two and learn how to deflect them.
When one is discovered headed our way, how embarrassing it would be for us
big-brained, opposable-thumbed humans to meet the same fate as the proverbially
pea-brained dinosaurs. We should drill through the kilometers of ice on
Jupiter’s moon Europa and explore its subsurface liquid ocean for living
organisms. We should explore Pluto and its newly discovered family of orbiting
icy bodies in the outer solar system -- they contain clues to our planetary
origins. We should probe Venus and its atmosphere. Its runaway greenhouse
effect tells us that something went horribly wrong. Using people as well as
robots, no part of the solar system should sit beyond our reach. No part of
the universe should hide from our telescopes, launched into orbit around Earth,
the Sun, and elsewhere.
With
mission plans and projects such as these, I, as an educator, can guarantee you
an academic pipeline stoked with the best and the brightest, biologists,
chemists, physicists, geologists, astrophysicists, and engineers. And yes,
they will collectively form a new kind of silo -- one filled with intellectual
capital -- that will be available when called, just as the nation’s best have
come when called before.
To die on the frontier without hope
that others will follow, because no-body would write the check, is to move
backwards just by standing still. None of us want our descendents to reflect
fondly on a time-passed when America once shined in the timeline of cosmic
discovery.
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