|
Launching the Right Stuff
© Neil deGrasse Tyson
From Natural History magazine, April 2004
________________________________________________________
More than a year has passed since the space
shuttle Columbia broke into pieces over central Texas. This past January
President Bush announced a long-term program of space exploration that would
return human beings to the Moon, and thereafter send them to Mars and beyond.
As this magazine goes to press, the twin Mars Exploration Rovers, Spirit and
Opportunity, are wowing the scientists and engineers at the rovers’ birthplace—NASA’s
Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL)—with their skills as robotic field geologists.
JPL’s official rover Web site (marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov) is being stampeded by
visitors.
The confluence of these and other events
resurrects a perennial debate: with two shuttle failures out of 112 missions,
and the astronomical expense of the manned space program, can sending people
into space be justified, or should robots do the job alone? Or, given society’s
sociopolitical ailments, is space exploration something we simply cannot afford
to pursue? As an astrophysicist, as an educator, and as a citizen, I must speak
my mind on these issues.
Modern societies have been sending robots into
space since 1957, and people since 1961. Fact is, it’s vastly cheaper to send robots:
in most cases, a fiftieth the cost of sending people. Robots don’t much care
how hot or cold space gets; give them the right lubricants, and they’ll operate
in a vast range of temperatures. They don’t need elaborate life-support
systems, either. Robots can spend long periods of time moving around and among
the planets, more or less unfazed by ionizing radiation. They do not lose bone
mass from prolonged exposure to weightlessness, because, of course, they are
boneless. Nor do they have hygiene needs. You don’t even have to feed them.
Best of all, once they’ve finished their jobs, they won’t complain if you don’t
bring them home. So if my only goal in space is to do science, and I’m thinking
strictly in terms of the scientific return on my dollar, I can think of no
justification for sending people into space. I’d rather send the fifty robots.
But there’s a flip side to this argument. Unlike
even the most talented modern robots, a person is endowed with the ability to
make serendipitous discoveries that arise from a lifetime of experience. Until
the day arrives when bioneurophysiological computer engineers can do a
human-brain download on a robot, the most we can expect of the robot is to look
for what it has already been programmed to find. A robot—which is, after all, a
machine for embedding human expectations in hardware and software—cannot fully
embrace revolutionary scientific discoveries. And those are the ones you don’t
want to miss.
In the old days, people generally pictured robots
as a hunk of hardware with a head, neck, torso, arms, and legs—or maybe some
wheels to roll around on. They could be talked to, and would talk back
(sounding, of course, robotic). The standard robot looked more or less like a
person. The fussbudget character C3PO, from the Star Wars movies, is a perfect
example. Even when a robot doesn’t look humanoid, its handlers might present it
to the public as a quasi-living thing. Each of NASA’s Mars rovers, for
instance, is described in JPL press packets as having “a body, brains, a ‘neck
and head,’ eyes and other ‘senses,’ an arm, ‘legs,’ and antennas for ‘speaking’
and ‘listening.’” On February 5, 2004, according to the status reports, “Spirit
woke up earlier than normal today . . . in order to prepare for its memory
‘surgery.’” On the 19th the rover remotely examined the rim and surrounding
soil of a crater dubbed Bonneville, and “after all this work, Spirit took a
break with a nap lasting slightly more than an hour.”
In spite of all this anthropomorphism, it’s pretty
clear that a robot can have any shape: it’s simply an automated piece of
machinery that accomplishes a task—either by repeating an action faster or more
reliably than the average person can, or by performing an action that a person,
relying solely on the five senses, would be unable to accomplish. Robots that
paint cars on assembly lines don’t look much like people. The Mars rovers look
a bit like toy flatbed trucks, but they can grind a pit in the surface of a
rock, mobilize a combination microscope-camera to examine the freshly exposed
surface, and determine the rock’s chemical composition—just as a geologist
might do in a laboratory on Earth.
It’s worth noting, by the way, that even a human
geologist doesn’t go it alone. Unaided by some kind of equipment, a person cannot
grind down the surface of a rock; that’s why a field geologist carries a
hammer. To analyze a rock further, the geologist deploys another kind of
apparatus, one that can determine its chemical composition. Therein lies a
conundrum. Almost all the science likely to be done in an alien environment
would be done by some piece of equipment. Field geologists on Mars would schlep
it on their daily strolls across a Martian crater or outcrop, where they might
take measurements of the soil, the rocks, the terrain, and the atmosphere. But
if you can get a robot to do the schlepping and deploy all the same
instruments, why send a field geologist to Mars at all?
One good reason is the geologist’s common sense.
Each Mars rover is designed to move for about ten seconds, then stop and assess
its immediate surroundings for twenty seconds, move for another ten seconds,
and so on. If the rover moved any faster, or moved without stopping, it might
stumble on a rock and tip over, becoming as helpless as a Galápagos tortoise on
its back. In contrast, a human explorer would just stride ahead; people are
quite good at watching out for rocks and cliffs.
Back in the late 1960s and early 1970s, in the
days of NASA’s manned Apollo flights to the Moon, no robot could decide which
pebbles to pick up and bring home. But when the Apollo 17 astronaut Harrison
Schmitt, the only geologist (in fact, the only scientist) to have walked on the
Moon, noticed some odd, orange and black soil on the lunar surface, he
immediately collected a sample. It turned out to be minute beads of volcanic
glass. Today a robot can perform staggering chemical analyses and transmit
amazingly detailed images, but it still can’t react, as Schmitt did, to a
surprise. By contrast, packed inside the 150-pound mechanism of a field
geologist are the capacities to walk, run, dig, hammer, see, communicate,
interpret, and invent.
And of course when something goes wrong, an
on-the-spot human being becomes a robot’s best friend. Give a person a wrench,
a hammer, and some duct tape, and you’d be surprised what can get fixed. After
landing on Mars this past January 3, did the Spirit rover just roll right off
its lander platform and start checking out the neighborhood? No, its airbags
were blocking the path. Not until January 15 did Spirit’s remote controllers
manage to get all six of its wheels rolling on Martian soil. Anyone on the
scene on January 3 could have just lifted the airbags out of the way and given
Spirit a little shove.
Let’s assume, then, that we can agree on a few things:
People notice the unexpected, react to unforeseen circumstances, and solve
problems in ways that robots cannot. Robots are cheap to send into space, but
can make only a preprogrammed analysis. Cost and scientific results, however,
are not the only relevant issues. There’s also the question of
exploration. The first troglodytes
to cross the valley or climb the mountain ventured forth from the family cave
not because they wanted to make a scientific discovery but because something
unknown lay beyond the horizon. Perhaps they sought more food, better shelter,
or a more promising way of life. In any case, they felt compelled to explore.
The drive to explore may be hardwired, lying deep within the behavioral
identity of the human species. To send a person to Mars who can look under the
rocks or find out what’s down in the valley is the natural extension of what
ordinary people have always done on Earth.
Many of my colleagues assert that plenty of
science can be done without putting people in space. But if they are between
forty and sixty years old, and you ask what inspired them to become scientists,
nearly every one (at least in my experience) will cite the high-profile Apollo
program. It took place when they were young, and it’s what got them excited. It’s
that simple. In contrast, even if they also mention the launch of Sputnik I,
which gave birth to the space era, very few of those scientists credit their
interest to the numerous other unmanned satellites and space probes launched by
both the United States and the Soviet Union shortly thereafter.
So if you’re a first-rate scientist drawn to the
space program because you’d initially been inspired by astronauts rocketing
into the great beyond, it’s somewhat disingenuous of you to contend that people
should no longer go into space. To take that position is, in effect, to deny
the next generation of students the thrill of following the same path you did:
enabling one of our own kind, not just a robotic emissary, to walk on the
frontier of exploration.
Whenever we hold an event at the Hayden
Planetarium that includes an astronaut, I’ve found there’s a small but
noticeable uptick in attendance. People invariably seek the astronaut’s
autograph. This celebrity status holds even for astronauts most people have
never heard of. Any astronaut will do. The one-on-one encounter makes a
difference in the hearts and minds of Earth’s armchair space travelers—whether
retired science teachers, hardworking bus drivers, thirteen-year-old kids, or
ambitious parents.
Of course, people have been excited about robots
lately, too. From January 3 through January 5, 2004, the NASA Web site that
tracks the doings of the Mars rovers got more than half a billion
hits—506,621,916 to be exact. That’s a record for NASA.
The solution to the quandary seems obvious to me:
send both robots and people into space. Space exploration needn’t be an
either/or transaction, because there’s no avoiding the fact that robots are
better suited for certain tasks, and people for others. One thing is certain: in
the coming decades, the U.S. will need to call upon multitudes of scientists
and engineers from scores of disciplines, and astronauts will have to be
extraordinarily well trained. The search for evidence of past life on Mars, for
instance, will require top-notch biologists. But what does a biologist know
about planetary terrains?
Geologists and geophysicists will have to go, too. Chemists will be
needed to check out the atmosphere and sample the soils. If life once thrived
on Mars, the remains might now be fossilized, and so perhaps we’ll need a few
paleontologists to join the fray. People who know how to drill through
kilometers of soil and rock will also be must-haves, because that’s where
Martian water reserves might be hiding.
Where will all those talented scientists and
technologists come from? Who’s going to recruit them? Personally, when I give
talks to students old enough to decide what they want to be when they grow up,
but young enough not to get derailed by raging hormones, I need to offer them a
tasty carrot to get them excited enough to become scientists. That task is made
easy if I can introduce them to astronauts looking for the next generation to
share their grand vision of exploration and join them in space. Without such
inspiring forces behind me, I’m just that day’s entertainment. My reading of
history tells me that people need heroes. Nobody ever gave a ticker-tape parade
for a robot.
Twentieth-century America owed much of its
security and economic strength to its support for science and technology. Some
of the most revolutionary (and marketable) technology of the past several
decades has been spun off the research done under the banner of U.S. space
exploration: kidney dialysis machines, implantable pacemakers,
corrosion-resistant coatings for bridges and monuments (including the Statue of
Liberty), hydroponic systems for growing plants, collision-avoidance systems on
aircraft, digital imaging, infrared hand-held cameras, cordless appliances,
athletic shoes, scratch-resistant sunglasses, virtual reality. And that list
doesn’t even include Tang.
Although solutions to a problem are often the
fruit of direct investments in targeted research, the most revolutionary
solutions tend to emerge from cross-pollination with other disciplines. Medical
investigators might never have known of X rays, since they do not naturally
occur in biological systems. It took a physicist, Wilhelm Conrad Röntgen, to
discover them—light rays that could probe the body’s interior with nary a cut
from a surgeon.
Here’s a more recent example of cross-pollination.
Soon after the Hubble Space Telescope was launched in April 1990, NASA
engineers realized that the telescope’s primary mirror—which gathers and
reflects the light from celestial objects into its cameras and spectrographs—had
been ground to an incorrect shape. In other words, the
billion-and-a-half-dollar telescope was producing fuzzy images.
That was bad.
As if to make lemonade out of lemons, though,
computer algorithms came to the rescue. Investigators at the Space Telescope
Science Institute in Baltimore, Maryland, developed a range of clever and
innovative image-processing techniques to compensate for some of Hubble’s
shortcomings. Turns out, maximizing the amount of information that could be
extracted from a blurry astronomical image is technically identical to
maximizing the amount of information that can be extracted from a mammogram.
Soon the new techniques came into common use for detecting early signs of
breast cancer.
But that’s only part of the story. In 1997, for Hubble’s second servicing
mission (the first, in 1993, corrected the faulty optics), shuttle astronauts
swapped in a brand-new, high-resolution digital detector—designed to the
demanding specs of astronomers whose careers are based on being able to see
small, dim things in the cosmos. That technology is now incorporated in a
minimally invasive, low-cost system for doing breast biopsies, the next stage
after mammograms in the early diagnosis of cancer.
So why not ask investigators to take direct aim at
the challenge of detecting breast cancer? Why should innovations in medicine
have to wait for a Hubble-size blunder in space? My answer may not be
politically correct, but it’s the truth: when you organize extraordinary
missions, you attract people of extraordinary talent who might not have been
inspired by or attracted to the goal of saving the world from cancer or hunger
or pestilence.
Today, cross-pollination between science and
society comes about when you have ample funding for ambitious, long-term projects.
America has profited immensely from a generation of scientists and engineers
who, instead of becoming lawyers or investment bankers, responded to a
challenging vision posed in 1961 by President John F. Kennedy. “We intend to
land a man on the Moon,” proclaimed Kennedy, welcoming the citizenry to aid in
the effort. That generation, and the one that followed, was the same generation
of technologists who invented the personal computer. Bill Gates, co-founder of
Microsoft, was thirteen years old when the U.S. landed an astronaut on the
Moon; Steve Jobs, co-founder of Apple Computer, was fourteen. The PC did not
arise from the mind of a banker or artist or professional athlete. It was
invented and developed by a technically trained workforce, who had responded to
the dream unfurled before them, and were thrilled to become scientists and
engineers.
Yes, the world needs bankers and artists and even
professional athletes. They, among countless others, create the breadth of
society and culture. But if you want tomorrow to come—if you want to spawn
entire economic sectors that didn’t exist yesterday—those are not the people
you turn to. It’s technologists who create that kind of future. And it’s
visionary steps into space that create that kind of technologist. I look
forward to the day when human beings travel the solar system as if it’s our own
backyard—not only with robots, but with real live people, guided by our
timeless and boundless need to explore.
________________________________________________________
Astrophysicist Neil deGrasse Tyson is the
Frederick P. Rose Director of the Hayden Planetarium in New York City. He was
recently appointed by President Bush to serve on the nine-member President’s
Commission on Implementation of United States Space Exploration Policy.
|